The Resident #11

“The Resident” is back to airing new episodes and pulling the same exact numbers as before. The April 16th show generated an 0.9/3 rating/share and 4.2 million viewers. This is the exact numbers the show received on 3/12, 3/19, and 3/26. It is clear that the show has its core following and is not changing. The show has not done any major promotions to increase this viewership.

I cannot find any information on when Fox’s upfront is happening. However, I can see on Cancel Bear that so far only “The Gifted”, “911” “The Orville”, and “The Simpsons” have been officially renewed. These shows are produced in house and owned by Fox, hence why they are an obvious renewal. “The Resident” is also owned by Fox, so it’s chances of renewal by May 2018 is high. This in combination with consistent ratings is a recipe for success.

The Resident #8

According to cancel bear, “The Resident” is most likely to be renewed by May 2018. The show has an 18-49 rating of 1.13 and a Renew/Cancel Index of 0.43, which is very good. Since the show is owned by Fox’s affiliate studio, why haven’t they sealed the deal yet?

One possible explanation could be the Network does not want to commit to anything until upfront happen. Perhaps the network has an allocated budget to spend on certain shows, and if advertisers want a new show in the mix, they could forego “The Resident” to make room. Fox has not even announced its upfront date yet.

Another possible explanation is the network is trying to decide if “The Resident” is worth keeping around when “9-1-1”, which is of a similar genre, has already been renewed. Since critical acclaim has not been great, this could be a feasible explanation.

Even though the show is staying consistent in ratings, Fox is holding off until the last possible minute.

The Resident #6

According to Cancel Bear on TV By The Numbers, The Resident has increased its chances of renewal. In week eighteen of the 2017-2018 television season cycle Cancel Bear gave the show three bears. Now in week twenty-three, the prediction has increased to four bears. Overall the show has an 18-49 rating of 1.28 and a renew/Cancel index of 0.58. Based on the ratings of the other shows, this looks promising.

If a show is in the negatives for the renew/Cancel index, then it is highly unlikely to get renewed. With that in mind, any renew/Cancel index above a 0.5 is highly likely to get renewed. If the show has a low renew/Cancel index but a high 18-49 rating, then the chances of the show getting renewed are also very high. You have to give the people what they want!

 

The Cancel Bear noted in its article that if The Resident could remain above a 1.0 rating, it would likely survive. For the next few weeks it managed to do that. However, last week it fell to a 0.8, its lowest 18-49 rating so far. However, the chances of renewal are still likely. We will have to wait until May 2018 to see!

The Resident #5

“The Resident’s” biggest competitor this season is ABC’s new medical drama “The Good Doctor”. The show follows Shaun Murphy, a young surgeon with autism and Savant syndrome, is recruited into the surgical unit of a prestigious hospital. The show is the #2 show on network television this season, behind NBC’s “This Is Us”. It has received critical acclaim. Freddie Highmore has been nominated for a Golden Globe for best performance by an actor in a television series – drama. He was also nominated for a Critics Choice Award for best actor in a drama series.

“The Good Doctor” has exceeded expectations. The pilot on September 25 put up a rating of 2.19 and over 11 million viewers for the 18-49 demographic. The shocking part is the show’s ability to keep those ratings. The show’s biggest viewership deficit was 8.17%, but then went back up the next week 12.49%. While it has not been officially picked up for a second season, it is a shoe in for renewal. Overall, “The Resident” is no threat to “The Good Doctor”.

The Resident #4

It is no secret that network medical dramas like to play up soap opera storylines. Specifically, these shows love to get people talking about all the on camera relationships. We have seen it time and time again with General Hospital, ER, and Grey’s Anatomy. Now I see Fox using the same strategies on “The Resident” but with a modern spin.

Notice how every woman who tweets at the show is female. I like to say that the people tweeting at this show have a “fan girl” attitude, where they most care about the looks of the characters and the on screen relationships. The show picks up on this, which is why they post interactive quizzes on twitter and gifs about these subjects. Now with social media, the way we interact with shows is different. Fox is capitalizing on this “fan girl” attitude to boost social media traffic.

 

“The Resident” will be back next Monday 2/26 with a new episode. It took a three week hiatus because of the Olympics.

The Resident #3

Chances of renewal seem likely for “The Resident”. According to a TV by The Numbers columnist, the chances are better than 50/50 despite the shows’ average ratings in its Monday 9PM time slot. Fox’s sister studio 21st Century Fox owns the show, which almost always guarantees renewal. However, there are major changes happening at 21st Century Fox, so by next fall the studio could very easily not own “The Resident” anymore. When the new schedule is being set this May, the heads of Fox will also be running the studio. This is very unusual and will cause big changes in the business model at the company.

A better explanation of what is happening to Fox here:

Fox’s other new drama “9-1-1” is performing very well and will definitely be picked up for a second season. Something interesting to look out for in the coming weeks is Fox decided to pair up “The Resident” and “9-1-1” for a special to gain exposure for both shows. I think that the mashup will enhance “The Resident”’s chances of getting picked up for a second season.

The Resident #1

This semester I will be covering Fox’s new winter 2018 medical drama “The Resident”. The show stars an optimistic young doctor (played by Matt Czuchry of “The Good Wife”) who discovers through his senior resident and expert villain (played by Bruce Greenwood of “The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story,” and “Mad Men”) that modern day medicine is not always for the good of the people, it is about making money. The target audience for this show is 18-49. You can watch the trailer here:

The show premiered on Fox on Sunday January 21st around 10pm after the NFC Championship and postgame show. Outside of the super bowl, a series cannot ask for a better lead in, but the numbers fell flat. Episode 1 received a 2.6 rating and 8.65 million viewers.

Here are the numbers from shows that premiered following the NFC Championship in years past:

Experts say that “The Resident” lacked due to the decline in both overall primetime and NFL ratings this season. Monday’s premiere, which will be its usual air time at 9pm, took a hit as well. Episode 2 received an 1.0/4 rating and 5.7 million viewers. Episode 3 flattened out and was only shy of its competitor “The Good Doctor” on ABC, with a 0.9/3 rating and 4.68 million viewers. “The Good Doctor” received a 0.8/3 rating and 5.01 million viewers.

Second Chance Post #9

Second Chance continued to pull similar ratings for FOX this past week. Since February 26th, the show has been pulling a 0.5 rating in the 18-49 demographic and has garnered anywhere from 1.17 to 2.15 million viewers with this same rating. It’s not terrible for FOX, but there was a reason, after all, that the show was moved to Friday’s after only two weeks.

This past Friday, March 25th, Second Chance reached the end of its original episode order. FOX only ordered eleven episodes of the show (cut back from the original order, as I’ve blogged about before) and that programming ended with this past week. There’s no official word either way from FOX on whether or not the show will continue, but a Bustle article from just a few days ago makes a strong case for its renewal. That article also links to this Entertainment Weekly piece from back in January noting that FOX did spend quite a bit of money on reshoots for the show which the author argues they probably would not have done if they didn’t believe in it. Based on what I’ve seen online, the show has a dedicated fanbase, but it’s still unclear whether or not keeping the show around will make sense for FOX from a business standpoint.

ABC’s The Catch – Post 2

On February 11th, the official version of the preview for The Catch was released on its Facebook page. Its previously noted that another preview was released on Imdb.com that did not feature Peter Krause from NBC’s Parenthood. In the false preview, the character Keiran Booth is played by Damon Dayoub. The two previews are very similar. They both portray Mirelle Enos as a PI who searches for people who have committed high profiled fraud and that her fiancé embezzles millions from her then disappears. This questions the credibility of Imdb.com as a source for it does allow access for anyone to update the information similar to Wikipedia. Another website that premiered the promo video was tvseriesfinale.com which has articles about cancelled, new, and renewed shows. They published their information about The Catch from ABC.com and had the same promo video that Facebook had. Peter Krause has been confirmed to play Keiran Booth on this site as well. Under The Catch blog on ABC.com, there is the official trailer for the show as well published by Derek Wong.

Further research revealed that there was a major recast of the show back in May 2015 where Damon Dayoub and Bethany Joy Lenz were no longer part of the show. This was confirmed by variety.com, usmagazine.com, and tvwise.com.uk. The trailer on imdb.com has not been updated since the change last year which has been giving viewers old content.

Second Chance Post #3

Screen Shot 2016-02-09 at 10.05.37 PM

With each passing week, it’s more and more clear that FOX’s “Second Chance” will more than likely not be getting one… The show dropped to a 0.6 rating pulling only 2.24 million viewers. A .1 decline from last week’s .7 rating in the demo.

Interestingly enough, the show has been getting paltry ratings but its social media following tells another story. On Facebook, Second Chance has 11,922 likes — not too bad, but then again a show like Empire has 3+ million. What’s interesting about the following Second Chance has is that the interaction their posts have is nearly universally positive. Especially on Facebook, I can’t recall the last time I’ve seen a page whose comments are universally positive. On almost everything they post there are a bevy of comments saying how great the show is and how disappointed viewers will be if the show gets cancelled. The engagement numbers aren’t high, but the engagement they do get is overwhelmingly positive.